Case study: London Fresh Market – 10% margin increase through basket analysis

High turnover does not always mean high profits. Discover the story of London Fresh Market, which, through basket analysis, not only understood its customers but also increased its margin by 10% in just six months. See how data transformed their business from within.

Case study: London Fresh Market – 10% margin increase through basket analysis

High turnover is not everything. How transaction data can realistically increase your store’s profit?

Daily work in a grocery store is a constant juggling of tasks: orders, deliveries, customer service, team management. With such a large dynamics, it’s easy to focus on turnover, confusing it with actual profit. This story shows how one store in London, using data it already had, increased its margin by 10% without hiring an army of analysts.

The path of London Fresh Market to higher margins

The story of this store is similar to many other Polish establishments in the UK. A good location, loyal customers, and an owner who knew his assortment inside out. Despite this, at the end of the month, profits did not reflect the effort put in and the scale of sales. The problem lay in decisions based mainly on intuition rather than hard data.

What do you really know about your shopping basket?

Market Basket Analysis is a technique that involves discovering relationships between products purchased simultaneously by customers. It is much more than just knowing what sells best. It answers the question: “What sells together with what?”. A sales report will show you that you sold 100 loaves of bread and 50 packs of ham. Basket analysis will tell you that in 40 transactions, bread and ham were on the same receipt. This simple information opens up huge opportunities for optimizing sales, promotions, and store layout.

Starting situation: daily struggle and “eyeballing” decisions

The owner of London Fresh Market, like many entrepreneurs, relied on his observations. He saw that customers often bought drinks and snacks, so he ordered more of them. He created promotions based on what was piling up in the warehouse or what suppliers suggested. The result? Some promotional items sold out quickly, generating low profit, while other products, often those with high margins, gathered dust. There was a lack of a coherent strategy, and every decision was fraught with the risk of error. Fatigue and a sense of acting in the dark grew, even though the store was bustling with life.

Implementation of a POS system that changed the game

The breakthrough came with the decision to implement a modern POS system that offered a module for analyzing sales data. It was not a complicated corporate-class system, but an accessible tool designed for retail. The key was that the system automatically collected and processed data from each receipt. Instead of spending hours reviewing spreadsheets, the owner gained access to clear dashboards and reports. He focused on analyzing a few key indicators: the most common product pairs, the average basket value at different times of the day, and the impact of one product’s promotion on the sales of others.

Effects after 6 months: the numbers speak for themselves

After six months of regular, weekly data analysis, the results exceeded the wildest expectations. The store’s gross margin increased by 10%. How was this achieved?

  • Smart sets (cross-selling): Data showed that customers buying a specific type of sausage almost always reached for a specific type of mustard. Moving the mustard right next to the meat counter increased its sales by 30%, raising the value of the entire basket.
  • Data-driven promotions: Instead of discounting products that weren’t selling, the store started creating promotions like “buy product A (with a lower margin), and product B (with a high margin) will be 15% off.” Analysis showed that kabanos often ended up in the basket with craft beer. A light promotion on kabanos drove sales of the more expensive, high-margin beer.
  • Optimization of stock: Thanks to sales trend analysis, the owner could accurately forecast demand. This allowed for a reduction in food waste by nearly 15%, especially in categories of products with a short shelf life, such as dairy and fresh baked goods.

This is not an isolated case. The owner of a store in Manchester, analyzing weekend receipts, discovered that customers regularly created their own “grilling sets.” He introduced ready-made packages – sausage, blood sausage, bread, and sauce – which turned out to be a hit and simplified shopping while guaranteeing the store a higher margin than selling individual products.

Basket analysis in practice: questions and answers

Many myths have arisen around sales analytics that discourage independent store owners. It’s time to dispel them based on real experiences.

Myth: “Data analysis is only for large retail chains.”

Fact: Perhaps it was once true. Today, technology has become accessible and scalable. Modern POS systems for small and medium businesses often come with built-in analytical modules as standard or as an inexpensive add-on. The cost of implementing such a system is an investment that, as the example of London Fresh Market shows, pays off within a few months through margin optimization and loss reduction.

Myth: “My store is small, I know my customers, and I know what they need.”

Fact: Customer loyalty and a good relationship with them are the foundation, but they cannot replace data. Basket analysis allows you to discover hidden patterns and needs that customers themselves would not tell you. Perhaps they buy cake ingredients in your store, but go to the competition for cream because yours is at the other end of the store. Data is an objective source of knowledge that complements your daily observations.

Myth: “Data analysis is complicated and will take too much time.”

Fact: This is one of the most harmful myths. Effective analysis does not involve manually sifting through thousands of receipts. Modern software does it for you. Your task is to spend 30-45 minutes once a week reviewing ready-made, visual reports and drawing conclusions. This is less time than it takes to solve one problem with a wrong delivery.

Myth: “To increase margin, I need to raise prices and risk losing customers.”

Fact: Basket analysis shows that this is not true. Increasing margin often involves smarter selling, not more expensive selling. It’s about building the offer and store layout in such a way that customers naturally put more products in their baskets, especially those with higher profit for you. Strategic promotions on some products can drive sales of other, more profitable ones, increasing the overall transaction value without scaring customers away with prices.

Myth: “I have been running this business for 10 years, my intuition is the best advisor.”

Fact: Experience and intuition are invaluable, but in today’s competitive world, that’s not enough. Treat data as a partner to your intuition. They will allow you to verify your hunches, avoid costly mistakes based on false assumptions, and make decisions with greater confidence. Does your intuition suggest that a new product will be a hit? Data will show you what customers might buy it with, helping you plan its perfect placement in the store from day one.

Key takeaways for your business

The story of London Fresh Market is proof that technology is no longer a distant tool but a practical support in the daily running of a store. What should you remember?

  • Data-driven decisions lead to real profit growth, not just turnover.
  • Basket analysis is an investment in a deeper understanding of the customer that pays off quickly.
  • Small, thoughtful changes in store layout or promotional strategy can yield surprisingly large financial results.
  • Modern analytical systems are now available, easy to use, and tailored for independent stores.

Are you ready to uncover the truth hidden in your receipts?

The end of the quarter is an excellent time for an audit of the tools you have. Look critically at your cash register system and consider whether it provides you with the information needed for strategic development or just records sales. Perhaps, like London Fresh Market, you are sitting on a gold mine, you just need the right tools to start extracting it.

Have additional questions?

You might also be interested in

Checklist: How to prepare data for annual inventory in POS 24/02/2026

Checklist: How to prepare data for annual inventory in POS

Is the annual inventory a challenge? Our step-by-step checklist will help you prepare the POS system, organize data, and conduct the inventory smoothly and accurately. Turn chaos into control and regain valuable time.

Read more
Case study: London Fresh Market – 10% margin increase through basket analysis 17/02/2026

Case study: London Fresh Market – 10% margin increase through basket analysis

High turnover does not always mean high profits. Discover the story of London Fresh Market, which, through basket analysis, not only understood its customers but also increased its margin by 10% in just six months. See how data transformed their business from within.

Read more
5 free BI tools for small stores (step-by-step comparison) 10/02/2026

5 free BI tools for small stores (step-by-step comparison)

Do you feel like you’re drowning in data from your POS system, making business decisions “on a gut feeling”? Discover how free Business Intelligence tools can turn the chaos of numbers into concrete profits and give you full control over your store. We compare 5 popular solutions that will help you save time and make smarter decisions.

Read more